Sunny Side of the Street
Sunday May 30, 2021
VantagePoint ai Prediction for Tomorrow
VP clearly projects the anticipated direction and magniture of tomorrow’s market. One can use any symbol; I trade the EMini S&P. My read is this: clearly the market is poised for further move upward, but how much?
All three moving averages are above the zero- line and pointing upward, though slightly, the long-term crossing over both the medium- and short-term , further confirming the anticipated direction.
Today I believe that the Dow will move on back up to the 34,980 level, which is currently slightly above the upper-outer SunnyBands. That level is challenged, however, by attractors at 34,810, 34,228 and 34,702. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Dow push on through those levels.
VP suggests that tomorrow should move to the upside, establishing new closing highs.
SunnyBands Implications
Dow Jones
S&P 500
Last week we noticed that both the Dow and the S&P had broken out of the pennant (triangle) formation signalling further movement to the upside. It has continued to unfold.
To register a further advance, the Dow still needs to break 34,908 and the ES needs to break 4,236. At this point, only a drop below 34,188 on the Dow and 4,108 on the ES would establish a concentrated down move to me.
If the markets continue on upward, I will move my "stops" up to 34,458 and 4,181 respectively.
The DMA (DynamicMovingAverage) is still turned upward with gold on top, confirming that the 7-day sideways movement broke to the upside as predicted previously. Price has now pierced the upper-outer SunnyBand and is likely heading toward the attractor above the market at 35,234 on the Dow and 4,293 on the ES.
S&P 500 Attractors |
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Dow 30 Attractors |
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The ES shows an Attractor at 4181 and another at 4108. (+/-) These are the areas that would be tested, if the new move decides to make a little correction on its path upward.
I'm watching for the ES to test 4,236 on the upside next. |
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The Dow shows an Attractor at 34,450 and another at 33,808. (+/-) These are the areas that would have to be transgressed to establish a new direction downward.
I also see a pennant formation stretching back to 5/10/21, which would siad that the former direction would resume when the pennant is broken to the upside. It was broken gently, and now the Dow is moving to the upside.
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Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions
Fibonacci extensions from the big "Covid Crash" can tell us a lot about where the market might be going. There is an extension at 4,237 which gives us an upward target, and below we have another extension, this time at 3,915. If the market continues to advance it should at least get to the 4,237 level. It's not far away.
Gold
Last time I said "Gold is on its way back up, from the looks of the weekly chart. The wave structure looks like a 1-3-5 to the top and a 5-wave A retracement with a simple B-wave move back up." The move this week has been decidedly to the upside, in fact sharply. It is now touching the upper inner SunnyBand which could provide some resistance to this week's upward activity. If not, the on it goes to the upper outer band which is at 1,909.
It looks like it should turn back to the 1,808 level and then bounce up to the 2,000 level. Current activity suggests folks are anticipating a bit of inflation.
Bonds
Bonds are no longer continuing straight down. @US has taken a bounce at the 154 level and then retraced a good part of it. Now it is making progress toward the DMA, which will push it upward and gold on top. That's a long signal. That's conditioned on inflation continuing, as it has during the Covid year.
The DMA_H is under the zero-line and has turned green, signaling upward movement since 4/22/21. Typically this configuration is followed by the gold DMA line crossing over the purple, telling us that the trend is up.
As for inflation, it seems that everything one wants to buy is far more expensive than it was before Covid. And yet, I think it is under-reported.
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SunnyBands - SunnyBands are a extension of my DMA. The two lines above and two lines below the purple and gold DMA alert me to where the market is going. They are constructed from ATR bands on either side of the DMA.
DMA_H - Sunny"s DynamicMovingAverage in histogram format, using sophisticated math to smooth out the whipsaws.
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